The Monday Mix: July 27 – Aug. 3, 2025

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The U.S. economy added only 73,000 jobs in July while May and June results were revised down by 258,000; roughly 25% of the unemployed have been jobless more than 27 weeks. 

A key gauge of U.S. inflation (the PCE Index) rose by 0.3% in June to an annualized rate of 2.6%, the highest level in four months, and up from 2.4% in May. 

The Fed Board overwhelming voted (9 to 2) to keep its key interest rate steady; probability of Fed cutting rates in Sept. rose to 80% from 38% after weak jobs data.

The U.S. and Eurozone signed a tentative trade deal (15% U.S. tariffs) as negotiations China, Mexico, Canada and others continue; U.S. will levy 40% tariff on transshipped goods.

The U.S. Environmental Protection Agency plans to remove the government’s ability to regulate greenhouse gas emissions from carbon-intensive sectors including oil & gas and autos. 

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